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Bulletin of Abai KazNPU. Series of Physical and mathematical sciences

MODELING THE CHANGE OF WATER VOLUME IN ALAKOL LAKE THROUGH POLYNOMIAL REGRESSION

Published December 2023

195

102

D. Nurbekuly+
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
M.K. Beisembekova+
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
G.M. Mayemerova+
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2878-580X
Z.B. Rakisheva+
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2745-7775
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
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D. Nurbekuly

1st year master's student, Department of Mechanics

Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
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M.K. Beisembekova

Teacher, Department of Mechanics

Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
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G.M. Mayemerova

PhD, Senior Lecturer, Department of Mechanics

Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
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Z.B. Rakisheva

Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Acting Professor, Department of Mechanics

Abstract

Water level and water volume monitoring can help identify possible changes of water flow, as well as water volume changes, which can suggest alteration of waterway flow and potential surface level flooding. Satellite altimetry and optical remote sensing are used to obtain water level and water area data of Lake Alakol. The Normalized Difference Water Index is used to calculate water area from Sentinel-2 data series. Hydroweb provides water level data and estimates water area using polynomial regression model.  Heron's formula are used to calculate water volume changes. After results analisys,  seasonal variations of water level and water volume were observed. Water level data from Sentinel-2 and interpolated water level data series from Hydroweb were showed strong relationship with correlation coefficient of 0.78.

pdf (Русский)
Language

Русский

How to Cite

[1]
Нурбекулы, Д., Бейсембекова, М., Маемерова, Г. and Ракишева, З. 2023. MODELING THE CHANGE OF WATER VOLUME IN ALAKOL LAKE THROUGH POLYNOMIAL REGRESSION. Bulletin of Abai KazNPU. Series of Physical and mathematical sciences. 84, 4 (Dec. 2023), 101–108. DOI:https://doi.org/10.51889/2959-5894.2023.84.4.010.